🇮🇳 Indian Markets Weekly View (Dec 29, 2025 – Jan 2, 2026) — Cautious but Constructive Setup
Indian Markets Weekly View brings you a clear outlook on the Indian stock market for the coming week.
📊 Market Snapshot (Latest Close)
Nifty 50: 26,042.30
Sensex: 85,041.45
Bank Nifty: 59,092.85
India VIX: 9.15 (very low volatility zone)
What it means for this week: The market is ending the year with tight ranges + low VIX. That combination often leads to a sharper move once volumes return (early Jan / earnings season).
More details Indian Markets Post Market Report-Dec 26,2025
🌍 Global Market Trends – Latest Data and Simple Takeaways
As we end 2025 and head into the first trading week of 2026, global markets are calm but still driving sentiment for Indian markets. Many major stock markets are staying near record zones even with thin year-end volumes.
🇺🇸 US Markets – Levels and What They Mean
S&P 500: ~6,929 points (flat to slightly lower on last session)markets.ft.com
Dow Jones: ~48,710 points (near lifetime highs)
Nasdaq 100: ~25,644 points (still well above earlier lows)
These numbers show that US markets are holding near high ground to end the year. The S&P 500 and Dow are essentially unchanged in the last session, reflecting range trading with low volume — typical holiday behavior before a new year breakout or correction.
Recent global financial data also show that world equities have been lifted in 2025 by optimism around Fed policy and growth — the broad indexes have clocked double-digit gains on the year.
🇪🇺 Europe – Steady but Not Breaking Out
European stocks have not registered major moves this week. Indicators like the Euro STOXX 50 and FTSE 100 are flat to mildly negative in recent sessions, suggesting consolidation rather than new trends forming ahead of January.
🌏 Asia – Mixed Performance
Asian markets are a mix: Japan’s Nikkei is up (~50,750) while Hong Kong and China markets are cooling due to weak domestic data and slower consumer activity.
This means money is rotating within Asia — investors are avoiding weaker regions (like China recently) and favoring relatively stronger ones like Japan.
🛢️ Commodities & Currencies – Stability with Small Moves
Gold & Precious Metals: Still strong globally with prices elevated late in 2025 (precise MCX prices vary by city).
Oil (Brent/WTI): Steady with minor swings — no major breakouts yet.
USD Index: Dollar is firm but not spiking, supporting commodities and emerging market currencies.
These non-equity assets are showing normal holiday calm — they aren’t driving markets sharply here and now, but they set the background for January moves.
🧠 What This Means for Indian Markets
Overall, global markets are flat to slightly positive at highs, but trading volumes are very thin because many international exchanges are on holiday break. This means:
Expect range-trading rather than trend formation this week.
Global support is present (markets not crashing), but no strong breakout trigger yet.
If US or Europe breaks higher in early January, we can expect Indian markets to follow.
Indian markets have already shown strength with recent rallies in Sensex and Nifty — global indices holding up without sharp declines makes that supportive rather than negative.
📈 Indian Markets Weekly View: Key Support & Resistance
✅ Nifty 50 Levels
Support: 25,900 – 25,850 (strong demand zone)
Resistance: 26,200 – 26,250 (supply band)
Upside trigger: Sustained move above 26,250 can open 26,500 → 26,650
✅ Bank Nifty Levels
Support: 58,700 – 58,600
Resistance: 59,400 – 59,500
Weekly reading: Nifty looks steadier than Bank Nifty; banks need a clean breakout to lead the next leg.
🧾 Derivatives Check: Open Interest & Put-Call Ratio
🔁 OI Setup (Nifty)
Heavy Call OI build-up near 26,200 and strong Put base near 26,000 → market is “boxed” in a narrow band.
Another read points to 26,200 as immediate resistance and 26,000 as cushion, with PCR ~1.08 (slightly bullish bias).
🧠 Practical takeaway
If Nifty holds 26,000 early weeks, dips may get bought.
A decisive break below 25,850 changes the tone (then expect faster downside follow-through).
💰 FII & DII Overview (Last Week Feel)
Latest available cash read shows FIIs net sellers (~₹317.56 cr) while DIIs net buyers (~₹1,772.56 cr) on Dec 26, 2025 (provisional).
Reuters also flags profit-taking near record highs + continued foreign selling as key reasons for the dip.
Big picture: 2025 is shaping up as a year of heavy FII outflows, so domestic flows remain the stabilizer going into 2026.
Weekly bias from flows: As long as DIIs keep absorbing supply, the market tends to correct in time (sideways) more than price (deep fall).
🏛️ SEBI Updates (What to Track)
Recent SEBI circulars in December focused on ease of investing / ease of doing business, including:
Enhancing the Basic Services Demat Account (BSDA) framework
Simplifying procedures for duplicate security certificates
Impact (practical): These are structural “friction reducers”—not instant market movers—but they improve investor experience and operational clarity over time.
🧾 IPO & Primary Market Updates
This is typically a quieter week for fresh IPO openings due to year-end positioning, but primary market headlines remain active:
Zepto has reportedly made a confidential filing with SEBI for an IPO (watch 2026 pipeline sentiment).
What to do as a reader: If you track IPOs, focus this week on listings/allotment outcomes and early 2026 calendars rather than expecting many large fresh openings.
🛢️ Commodities & Macro Cues
🟡 Gold
Gold in India stayed strong around ₹1,39,220 per 10g (24K) on Dec 26.
⚪ Silver
Silver is in a headline phase, hitting record zones (MCX discussed around ₹2.32 lakh/kg intraday).
🛢️ Crude (Brent)
Brent hovered near the low-60s, around $62.36 amid thin holiday trade and supply/watch headlines. investing.com
Why it matters:
Strong precious metals can support select metal/theme trades.
Crude staying calm helps India’s inflation math, which markets like.
💱 Currency Update (USDINR)
RBI reference (via archive): USDINR 89.8296 on Dec 26, 2025
NSE shows USDINR futures ~89.9050 for Dec 29
Weekly lens: USDINR is steady-to-firm; if the dollar spikes suddenly, it can cap short-term equity risk appetite.
🔮 Weekly Range Forecast (Base Case)
Nifty 50
Expected range: 25,850 – 26,250 (until breakout)
Breakout levels:
Above 26,250 → 26,500 / 26,650 possible
Below 25,850 → sentiment weakens; watch 25,700 area next (support shifts)
Bank Nifty
Expected range: 58,600 – 59,500
✅ Last Week’s Strong Performers (2 Stocks + 2 Sectors)
📌 Stocks that stood out
Shriram Finance surged on a major strategic investment headline.
Coal India gained on plans linked to listing subsidiaries (positive sentiment trigger).
🏭 Sectors in focus
Metals led sector gains last week (China demand + global rate expectations helped).
Broader market strength: small caps showed better resilience than headline indices in the week.
🧠 Investment View (Short Term vs Long Term)
⏳ Short term (1–3 weeks)
Treat this as a range market unless 26,250 breaks with volume.
A simple approach:
Buy only near supports (26,000 / 25,850) with strict risk control
Book partial profits near resistance (26,200–26,250)
🏗️ Long term (6–24 months)
If you’re investing (not trading), year-end ranges are often “noise.”
Use volatility compression (low VIX) periods to build gradually, not all at once.
👉Further Reading
Why Investment Matters: Detailed Explanation
FIIs Are Selling, Markets Aren’t Falling — Who Controls Indian Stocks in 2025?
Why FIIs &FPIs Are Selling Indian Stocks
Stock Market 101 – Chart Patterns Explained
Stock Market 101– Lesson 9: Technical Analysis
Stock Market 101 – Lesson 8 Essential Financial Ratios: How Real Investors Actually Use Them
Kotak, SBI, Titan, M&M, Bajaj Results
⚠️ SEBI-Style Disclaimer
This report is for education and information only and reflects publicly available data and market commentary. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy/sell any security, and not a guarantee of returns. Markets involve risk; please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.