🌍 Global Cues & Market Mood
Wall Street ended last week lower as renewed US–China trade tensions pressured risk assets.
Asian markets opened soft, crude hovered near $65 a barrel, and yields stayed firm.
➡ India enters Monday with neutral-to-cautious global tone but domestic resilience intact
GIFT Nifty Indication
GIFT Nifty (07:30 IST): ≈ 25 260 (-45 pts) → suggests a mildly weak open tracking global weakness.
Index Levels – Nifty | Sensex | Bank Nifty
Nifty 50: 25 285 (+0.4%) → Support 25 000 – 24 900 | Resistance 25 400 – 25 450
Sensex: 82 500 (+0.4%) → Support 81 800 | Resistance 83 000
Bank Nifty: 56 600 (+0.6%) → Support 56 130 | Resistance 56 880 then 57 100
💡 Trend stays bullish above supports; momentum resumes once Nifty > 25 450.
Derivatives Setup – OI | PCR | VIX
Call OI: 25 400–25 500 & 26 000 → supply zone.
Put OI: 25 200 & 25 000 → solid floor. PCR: ≈ 1.3 → bullish tilt.
India VIX: ~10 → calm volatility, watch for spikes.
🎯 Dips around 25 000 may get bought; 25 500 acts as short-term ceiling.
Institutional Flows – FII & DII
FIIs: +₹ 459 cr (net buy)
DIIs: +₹ 1 708 cr (net buy)
💰 Sustained domestic buying keeps liquidity robust even if foreign flows wobble.
Q2 FY26 Earnings Pulse & Impact
Early Q2 prints were mixed: TCS under-delivered, tempering IT sentiment, while banks and pharma remained steady.
Upcoming results from Infosys & HDFC Bank can drive sector rotation toward financials and defensives this week.
Trade-War Watch – US | China | India
Fresh tariff talks revived volatility world-wide. India faces indirect risks via IT exports, metals, and currency.
RBI intervention and diverse trade base offer buffers but headline news may drive intraday moves.
Short-Term View (Next Few Sessions)
Bias: Buy-on-dips while Nifty > 25 000.
Below 24 900 → profit-booking risk.
Above 25 450 → opens path to 25 600+.
Keep tight stops; watch Bank Nifty above 56 740 for confirmation.
Long-Term Outlook (3–6 Months)
India’s macro stays favorable — strong credit growth, infra push and earnings visibility
Accumulate quality banks, FMCG, capital-goods, pharma on dips; stay selective in IT until guidance stabilizes.
Sector Radar for 13 Oct 2025
🏦 Banking / PSU Banks:
Leading momentum – SBI & ICICI in focus. 💻 IT: Volatile post-earnings.
💊 Pharma:
Defensive accumulation continues.
⚙️ Metals:
Sensitive to trade headlines.
🚗 Auto / Consumer:
Stable festive-season demand.
Closing Thought
Expect a range-bound yet positive session. Low VIX and domestic inflows support equities, but weak global signals could cap upside. Stay stock-specific and manage risk.
Disclaimer:
This article is for information & education only and does not constitute investment advice. Data and levels are indicative as of 13 Oct 2025. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting on any information.
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