Diwali 2025 stocks
| 🏦 Source / Expert | 💼 Stock Name | 💰 CMP (₹) (as on 17 Oct 2025) | 🎯 Theme / Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| HDFC Securities | Bharti Airtel | 1,533. | Telecom & digital growth; margin expansion, 5G adoption, high ARPU visibility. |
| Larsen & Toubro (L&T) | 3,839 | Infrastructure leader; strong order book, capital goods upcycle. | |
| IDFC First Bank | 72 | Rising retail lending, improving NIMs; fast deposit growth. | |
| Sheela Foam | 667 | Consumer durables play; improving demand in mattress segment. | |
| JSW Energy | 540 | Clean energy transformation; strong project pipeline. | |
| Associated Alcohols & Breweries | 1058 | Consumption theme; rising premium spirits sales. | |
| Aurobindo Pharma | 1,101 | Pharma export recovery; margin tailwind. | |
| Navin Fluorine | 5108 | Specialty chemicals leader; clean tech export demand. | |
| Polycab India | 7439 | Electrical equipment leader; housing & infra demand. | |
| LTIMindtree | 5,605 | Digital transformation leader; valuations attractive. | |
| Motilal Oswal | BEL (Bharat Electronics) | 413 | Defence spending theme; PSU revival; export potential. |
| Swiggy (IPO listing) | 432 | Platform growth play; new economy consumption theme. | |
| Indian Hotels Company (IHCL) | 735 | Tourism & hospitality rebound; festive travel benefit. | |
| VIP Industries | 427 | Travel gear demand rising; margin improvement visible. | |
| LT Foods (Daawat) | 419 | FMCG expansion; premium rice exports growing. | |
| ET Experts (ET Markets) | Axis Bank | 1,200 | Private banking leader; healthy loan growth, Q2 beat. |
| DLF Ltd. | 768 | Realty upcycle; demand resilient in luxury housing. | |
| Paytm | 1285 | Fintech revival play; digital payments scaling. | |
| MTAR Tech | 2,289 | Defence & aerospace supplier; high order visibility. | |
| Havells India | 1,491 | Consumer durables favourite; festive season boost. | |
| Business Standard / Nirmal Bang | Finolex Industries | 191 | PVC pipe demand recovery; rural housing push. |
| Varun Beverages | 461 | FMCG leader; festive quarter volume growth. | |
| ICICI Bank | 1,436 | Consistent earnings; retail loan growth. | |
| Stove Kraft | 688 | Kitchen appliances demand pickup. | |
| GNG Electronics | 323 | EV & electronics ancillary play; high upside potential. | |
| Ambareesh Baliga / Gaurang Shah | Tata Power | 398 | Renewable energy transition; steady earnings. |
| ABB India | 5,202 | Automation & industrial theme; strong order flow. | |
| BEL | 413 | PSU defence strength; export book growing. | |
| Jio Financial Services | 309 | Digital finance platform; long-term scaling play. | |
| Aadhar Housing Finance | 503 | Affordable housing financier; interest rate cycle benefit. |
| 💡 Stock | 💰 CMP (₹) | 🔎 Why We Like It (Brief) |
|---|---|---|
| Kotak Mahindra Bank | 2,206 | Balance-sheet strength + digital growth focus; festive credit uptick. |
| Titan Company | 3,675 | Jewellery leader; seasonal boost + premium brand pricing. |
| Reliance Industries | 1,417 | Diversified engine – retail, energy, telecom all firing. |
| Mahindra & Mahindra | 3,647 | Auto leader; rural push & new EV line-up. |
| Axis Bank | 1,200 | Banking tailwinds; stable asset quality & valuation comfort. |
FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR 5 STOCKS
Below are five high-quality names—two private banks, two consumer-cyclical/auto stars, and India’s most followed conglomerate—analysed on fundamentals + technicals, with current prices (16 Oct 2025 close).
Prices (CMP) – 17 Oct 2025 close:
• Kotak Mahindra Bank: ₹2206
• Titan Company: ₹3675
• Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M): ₹3,647
• Reliance Industries (RIL): ₹1417
• Axis Bank: ₹1200
🏦 Kotak Mahindra Bank (KOTAKBANK)
CMP: ~₹2,206 (Oct 17, 2025)
Fundamentals (highlights):
- Return on Equity (ROE): ~15% (FY25 consolidated); NIM: ~4.25% (steady, high-quality spread engine).
- Book value/share: ~₹590 (FY25), leaving headroom for compounding as loan book scales.
Technical view:
- After a strong day on Oct 16, Kotak is re-testing its upper channel.
- Supports: ~₹2,150 (recent swing/close region) and ~₹2,080.
- Resistances: ~₹2,250 and ~₹2,300 (52-week high zone mentioned in press coverage). MarketWatch
Our take: High-quality franchise with best-in-class liability profile and conservative risk culture. Attractive for long-term, and buy-on-dips near support for swing traders.
💎 Titan Company (TITAN)
CMP: ~₹3675 (Oct 17, 2025)
Fundamentals (highlights):
- ROE/ROCE: ~24–27% (robust), Debt/Equity: ~0.7–0.9 (manageable for a retail brand with inventory cycles).
- Diversified premium brand across jewellery, watches, eyewear—festive demand is a structural driver.
Technical view:
- The stock reclaimed the ₹3,600+ area with momentum;
- Supports: ~₹3,550 and ~₹3,480.
- Resistances: ~₹3,700 and prior peaks—watch for continuation above ₹3,700 with volume.
Our take: A Diwali natural—structural compounding brand; buy on dips or on a confirmed breakout above ₹3,700 for trend followers.
🚙 Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M)
CMP: ~₹3,647 (Oct 17, 2025)
Fundamentals (highlights):
- ROE: ~19–20%; Debt/Equity: ~0.02–0.03 (very low); strong auto + farm mix.
- Recent reads show healthy profitability, low leverage, and an EV pipeline creating optionality.
Technical view:
- Trading near recent highs; medium-term trend up.
- Supports: ~₹3,500 (breakout retest) and ~₹3,400 (near 50-DMA cited by third-party screeners)
- Resistances: ~₹3,620–3,700 (recent high supply zone).
Our take: Quality cyclical + rural kicker. Accumulation on dips preferred; momentum entries on decisive close above ₹3,620–3,700.
🛢️ Reliance Industries (RIL)
CMP: ~₹1,417 (Oct 17, 2025)
Fundamentals (highlights):
- Diversified: O2C, retail, Jio (telecom/digital).
- Debt/Equity: ~0.37–0.49 (comfortable); ROCE: mid-single to high-single digits at consolidated level (improving with retail/digital scale).
Technical view:
- Stock bounced but still ~10% below 52-week high (per press), creating room if momentum broadens.
- Supports: ~₹1,360–1,375 (recent base), then ~₹1,330.
- Resistances: ~₹1,420 and ₹1,470–1,500 (key supply).
Our take: Core long-term compounder; near-term setups improve if it closes above ₹1,420–1,470 with volume.
🏦 Axis Bank (AXISBANK)
CMP: ~₹1,200 (Oct 17, 2025)
Fundamentals (highlights):
- Q2 FY26: NIM at ~3.73%, improved asset quality and lower credit costs even as trading income weighed on profit; deposit growth healthy; brokerages raised targets post-print.
- Structural metrics: ROE ~15% (consolidated), NIM ~3.4–3.5% (full-year lens); CASA ~41% (steady).
Technical view:
- Strong day on results—higher-highs set up.
- Supports: ~₹1,175–1,180 and ~₹1,150.
- Resistances: ~₹1,230 and ₹1,260–1,280 (next hurdle).
Our take: Private-bank beta with improving asset quality—good swing candidate; investors can accumulate on dips while it holds above ₹1,150–1,175.
🧭 Quick Positioning Guide (for readers)
- Short-Term (4–8 weeks):
- Kotak / Axis: Buy-on-dips toward first support levels; add if price closes above immediate resistance with higher volume.
- Titan: Momentum continuation above ₹3,700; otherwise staggered buying near ₹3,550.
- M&M: Accumulate on retests of ₹3,500; breakout above ₹3,620–3,700 can extend trend.
- RIL: Watch for close above ₹1,420–1,470 to unlock higher targets.
- Long-Term (12–24 months):
- Favor Kotak & Axis for compounding in private banks, Titan for premium consumption, M&M for autos + farm + EV optionality, and RIL for diversified scale (retail/digital).
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
- Macro: US–China trade headlines, global growth slowdown, and crude swings can alter sentiment quickly.
- Rates & FX: RBI policy trajectory, INR volatility.
- Company-specific: Execution, margins, and any regulatory surprises.
More Information 👇
📜 Disclaimer:
This content is for information & education only and is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any securities. Prices and data are as of market close 16 Oct 2025; levels can change rapidly. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before acting.