🌍 Global Key Cues
Overseas markets will drive India’s opening tone.
US indices showed mixed sentiment after Fed commentary. Asian markets are cautious on crude volatility. European futures are flat, waiting for macro updates.
Global yields, dollar movement, and geopolitical headlines remain the top watchpoints.
📈 GIFT Nifty Status
Current outlook: Flat to mildly cautious If it drifts lower → expect a weak start.
If it ticks higher → markets may stay range-bound or positive.
📝 Open Interest & Options Insight
Rising Call OI = resistance buildup.
Rising Put OI = support formation.
Watch Put-Call Ratio (PCR) and Implied Volatility (IV).
Heavy OI at strike levels usually acts as magnets for intraday price moves.
📊 Market View: Nifty, Bank Nifty & Sensex
🔹 Nifty 50
Resistance: 25,300 – 25,500
Support: 25,000 – 25,150
Lower buffer: 24,700 – 24,800
➡️ If Nifty holds above 25,300, momentum can extend.
If it slips below 25,000, correction risk builds.
🔹 Bank Nifty
Resistance: 56,000 – 56,160
Support: 55,600 – 55,000
➡️ Strong break above 56,160 may bring rally. Below 55,600, pressure resumes.
🔹 Sensex
Resistance: 83,000 – 83,200
Support: 82,400 – 82,000
➡️ Heavyweight IT & financials will dictate Sensex momentum.
🛢️ Commodities Outlook
Crude Oil
Range-bound but volatile. High prices hurt Indian macros (logistics, OMCs). Weakening crude = bullish for consumers & infra stocks.
Gold
Safe-haven demand rising. Acts as a defensive hedge when volatility spikes.
Silver
Dual nature: safe-haven + industrial demand. Outperformance likely if manufacturing improves.
📉 India VIX (Volatility Index)
A rising VIX → higher market risk, need wider stops.
A falling VIX → stable environment, favoring positional trades.
📢 IPO Buzz
Strong retail participation = liquidity shift from secondary market.
Weak subscription = cautious investor sentiment.
Keep an eye on today’s active IPOs and listing updates.
💡 Investment Focus Stocks
Swing Trading Picks (Short-Term)
Banking & NBFCs near key supports.
Infra/logistics if crude cools.
Select IT names on breakout confirmation.
Long-Term Investment Picks
Renewable & clean energy leaders.
Healthcare & FMCG for defensive compounding.
Quality NBFCs & large banks with strong asset books.
🎯 Trade Plan & Risk Management
Trade light in first 30 mins. Respect support & resistance levels. Use stop-losses before entering trades. Track FII/DII flows for directional bias. Avoid chasing gaps — wait for retests.
🔔 Wrap-Up / Key Takeaway
GIFT Nifty indicates cautious start.
Nifty resistance at 25,300–25,500,
support at 25,000.
Bank Nifty watch: 56,160 resistance. Commodities and IPO sentiment remain key drivers.
Stick to disciplined trade setups — volatility is both a risk and opportunity.