🇮🇳 Indian Markets Weekly Forecast | kartalks

First week of November,2025

Nifty 50 • Bank Nifty • Sensex • Commodities • Currency • IPOs

0fb2f162 C9c5 4641 885e 7404c135b4c3 683x1024

The market is stepping into November with a mix of relief and caution. October ended on a steady note — not euphoric, not fearful — just a mature market taking a pause after a long rally. And honestly, pauses are healthy.

After all, the Nifty didn’t sprint to 25,700 in one straight line. It needed breathing spells, and we’re likely inside one right now.

Last week gave us exactly that: controlled consolidation. No panic, no runaway breakout — just money rotating between sectors, stock-specific action after earnings, and traders waiting for clarity from global cues and domestic flows.

Let’s break down the story in a way every retail investor can understand.

IndexRecent Zone
Nifty 50~25,722
Bank Nifty~57,776
Sensex~83,900 zone

The tone was slightly soft, but not enough to break confidence. Buyers are visible near support areas, and sellers show up at resistance — a classic sideways market setup.

Think of it like a cricket match where both teams are playing safe, not swinging wildly, but waiting for the next opportunity.

🎯 Key Support & Resistance Zones

These zones help intraday traders and swing traders plan levels.

Nifty 50

  • Support: 25,650 – 25,500
  • Resistance: 25,900 – 26,200

Bank Nifty

  • Support: 57,700 – 57,300
  • Resistance: 58,200 – 58,800

Sensex

  • Support: 83,500 – 83,000
  • Resistance: 84,500 – 85,000

Right now, Nifty looks like it wants to hold above 25,650. If that remains intact, traders may try pushing toward 26,000+ again. But don’t expect fireworks unless global markets cooperate.

🌍 Global Cues & Gift Nifty

U.S. markets and bond-yield commentary continue to push emotions in Asia. Global funds are in “selective risk-on” mode — neither rushing in nor fleeing.

Gift Nifty traded slightly firm, suggesting a stable-to-mild-positive start to the week. But this isn’t an aggressive breakout environment — more like a steady accumulation phase.


🧾 FII & DII Flows

Foreign portfolio flows have been mixed — some profit booking visible, but domestic funds are consistently providing support.

Domestic SIP culture is strong, so volatility from FPI selling is now cushioned far better than earlier years. This is a huge structural strength for India.

FIIs were modest net sellers in October (≈ ₹ 2,347 crore).

DIIs remained strong net buyers in the same month (≈ ₹ 52,794 crore).


📈 Derivative Data: OI & PCR Mood

Option writers are active near 25,700–25,800 zones.
Put-Call Ratio shows cautious optimism — not greed.

Translation for new traders 👇
Markets are not ready for a runaway rally nor a deep correction unless a big global trigger appears. Range play rules.


🧠 What’s Driving Sentiment This Week?

  • Festival spending boost visible in consumption names
  • Strong confidence in government-capex linked stocks
  • IT and global-linked sectors still adjusting to global demand cycles
  • Defence and PSU pockets remain steady performers
  • Commodities watching crude movement closely

Investors are staying picky — buying good companies, ignoring hype.

🏦 Two Stocks That Stood Out in Q2

Bharat Electronics (BEL)

BEL’s earnings reaffirmed one thing — India’s defence manufacturing is not a one-year story, it’s a decade-long expansion.
Order book pipeline looked strong, and margins held well. Long-term investors like stability like this.

Chennai Petroleum Corporation (CPCL)

Oil refining margins have supported CPCL’s performance.
While not a glamor stock, it reminded the market that cyclical businesses also shine during favorable cycles.

A balanced portfolio sometimes needs both quality compounders and cycle-winners — CPCL filled that space this quarter.

AssetCurrent Mood
GoldFirm due to global currency pressure & buying demand
SilverFollowing gold’s trend, plus industrial strength
Crude OilRange-bound, but geopolitical headlines matter
INR vs USDRupee near ~88.7 range; stable yet watchful

📌 IPO Corner – Busy Season Ahead

November could be one of the busiest IPO months in recent memory.
Names across tech, manufacturing, healthcare and consumer categories are lining up.

Retail interest is strong, but remember — not every IPO becomes a multibagger. Quality > hype.

Keep two rules:

  • Read fundamentals
  • Don’t chase just because oversubscribed
IndexExpected Range
Nifty25,500 – 26,200
Bank Nifty57,300 – 58,800

Best strategy this week:

  • Buy quality stocks on dips
  • Avoid over-leverage
  • Keep watch on global data & oil

💰 Investment View

⏳ Short-Term View (1–4 weeks)

  • Stock-specific trades preferred
  • Banking and PSU names stay in focus
  • Midcaps selective strength visible

🧭 Long-Term View (12–36 months)

India’s growth foundation remains strong:

  • Domestic consumption
  • Infrastructure push
  • Digital transformation
  • Global supply chain shift

Volatility will come — but corrections are opportunities for disciplined investors.

❤️ Final Thought

Everyone loves bull markets.
Everyone fears corrections.

But the truth?

Real wealth is built in boring phases like this — quietly, consistently, without drama.

Use this phase to build positions slowly, learn, and stay focused.

Noise doesn’t build wealth.
Discipline does.

Further reading 👇

Stock Market 101 — Lesson 2

Stock Market 101: Learn Stocks from Zero

FAQs

🇮🇳 India Post-Market Report | Kartalks

scanx.trade

optionchainindia

Upcoming IPOs to Watch | kartalks


⚠️ SEBI Disclaimer

This content is for awareness and learning. Not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top